# The Black Swan

Canonical: https://www.archivodelibros.es/nassim-nicholas-taleb/en/the-black-swan/9780141906201

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![The Black Swan](https://quivercdn.com/covers/penguin/nassim-nicholas-taleb/the-black-swan_978-01-4190-620-1.jpg?v=2026-04-23%2020%3A23%3A36)

- Libro: [The Black Swan](https://www.archivodelibros.es/nassim-nicholas-taleb/en/the-black-swan) ([The Black Swan.md](https://www.archivodelibros.es/nassim-nicholas-taleb/en/the-black-swan.md))
- Autores: [Nassim Nicholas Taleb](https://www.archivodelibros.es/nassim-nicholas-taleb)
- Editorial: Penguin
- Medium: ebook
- ISBN: 978-01-4190-620-1
- Publicación: 2008-04-03
- Idioma: en_GB
- Encuadernación: E-book

## Descripción

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.